15 Aug · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1507
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Oracz
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1548
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.02· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H16-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)