15 Aug · 14:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DW
🇵🇱Damian Wasilewski
ELO 1469
FormWLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Wasilewski
FJ
🇵🇱Filip Jablonski
ELO 1293
FormLLWLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Wasilewski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+176
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)