15 Aug · 15:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1543
FormLWLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Wos
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1383
FormWLLWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Wos
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)