15 Aug · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1452
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Linek
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1437
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Linek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H20-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.