15 Aug · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1507
FormWLLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Morawiec
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1395
FormLWWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)