15 Aug · 15:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1548
FormWLWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Oracz
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1352
FormLLLLL
70%
30%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)