15 Aug · 19:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1543
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jadam
DJ
🇵🇱Dawid Jadam
ELO 1592
FormLWLLL
45%
55%
🌟Jadam rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (69)
Fair odds · Jadam
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)