15 Aug · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FM
🇵🇱Filip Mlynarski
ELO 1700
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mlynarski
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1673
FormWLLWW
53%
47%
🌟Jendrzejewski covers set handicap as underdog 65% (86)
Fair odds · Mlynarski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.