15 Aug · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1496
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gesiarz
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1454
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
🌟Gesiarz stays under total as favourite 80% (20)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)