15 Aug · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1588
FormWWWWW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Lewczuk
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1220
FormLLLLL
84%
16%
🌟Lewczuk covers set handicap as favourite 70% (30)
Fair odds · Lewczuk
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~73 pts
3-0
42%
3-1
29%
3-2
13%
2-3
8%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+368
H2H26-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+368)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-10)