15 Aug · 19:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KM
🇵🇱Krzysztof Malcher
ELO 1390
FormLLWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Malcher
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1220
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Malcher
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+170
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)