15 Aug · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1387
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Slosarczyk
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1362
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sawicki🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Slosarczyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 74% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+25
H2H32-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.