15 Aug · 17:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1336
FormLLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Michalczyk
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1434
FormWWWLL
39%
61%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Michalczyk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)