15 Aug · 18:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1374
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kwodawski
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1355
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kwodawski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.