15 Aug · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1528
FormWLLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Witczak
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1382
FormLLLLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 74% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+146
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)