15 Aug · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1336
FormLLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1452
FormLLWWL
37%
63%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H27-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-22)