15 Aug · 18:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1552
FormWWLLW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Nocun
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1232
FormWLLLL
80%
20%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~72 pts
3-0
40%
3-1
28%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+320
H2H13-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+320)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-4)