15 Aug · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Daniel Morawiec
ELO 1517
FormWWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Morawiec
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1362
FormLWLLL
67%
33%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Morawiec
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)