15 Aug · 20:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1503
FormLLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Kubiak
JD
🇵🇱Jerzy Debski
ELO 1341
FormLWLWW
67%
33%
🌟Kubiak stays under total as favourite 64% (64)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H8-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-0)