15 Aug · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1374
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kwodawski
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1331
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Kwodawski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H3-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)