15 Aug · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1614
FormWWLLW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Pawlik
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1232
FormWLLLL
84%
16%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 90% · 1.12· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~72 pts
3-0
42%
3-1
30%
3-2
13%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+382
H2H32-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+382)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-6)