15 Aug · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1383
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Michalczyk
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1452
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Michalczyk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)