15 Aug · 21:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1456
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rudomina
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1424
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Rudomina stays under total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H63-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.