15 Aug · 22:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1607
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pawlik
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1551
FormLWWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H3-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)