15 Aug · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1358
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Michalczyk
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1444
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Michalczyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 42% · 2.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)