15 Aug · 21:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1674
FormWWLWW
88%Win chancemodel fair 1.14Tkaczyk
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1228
FormLLWLL
88%
12%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 66% (56)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 88% · 1.14vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 5%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 74%Total ~72 pts
3-0
44%
3-1
31%
3-2
13%
2-3
6%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+446
H2H35-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+446)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-9)