15 Aug · 23:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1550
FormWLLWW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Nocun
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1243
FormWLLWL
80%
20%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~73 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+307
H2H14-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+307)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-4)