16 Aug · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JD
🇵🇱Jerzy Debski
ELO 1332
FormLLLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1522
FormWWWLL
30%
70%
🌟Kubiak stays under total as favourite 64% (64)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+190
H2H9-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+190)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-0)