16 Aug · 00:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1550
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pawlik
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1604
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H3-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)