16 Aug · 00:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1517
FormLWWWL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Kubiak
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1243
FormWLLWL
77%
23%
🌟Kubiak stays under total as favourite 64% (64)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 5%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+274
H2H65-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+274)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (65-7)