16 Aug · 00:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1285
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Myszewski
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1362
FormWLWLL
42%
58%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 90% (21)
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H10-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-9)