16 Aug · 02:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1526
FormWWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1674
FormWWWLW
34%
66%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 66% (56)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+148
H2H36-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-32)