16 Aug · 04:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1611
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pawlik
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1536
FormWWWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H27-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)