16 Aug · 03:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1664
FormLWWWL
87%Win chancemodel fair 1.15Tkaczyk
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1242
FormLLWLW
87%
13%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 66% (56)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 87% · 1.15vsMarket 89% · 1.13· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~74 pts
3-0
43%
3-1
30%
3-2
13%
2-3
6%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+422
H2H35-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+422)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-10)