16 Aug · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇵🇱Jerzy Debski
ELO 1326
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Debski
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1242
FormLLWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Debski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+84
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)