16 Aug · 04:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1526
FormLWLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1664
FormLWWWL
35%
65%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 66% (56)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H51-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-40)