16 Aug · 06:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1438
FormWLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Dabrowski
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1350
FormLWLWW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H12-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-5)