16 Aug · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1380
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skorski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1308
FormWWLWL
58%
42%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H50-60
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)