16 Aug · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1364
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sinicki
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1385
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.