16 Aug · 08:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1516
FormWWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Gumulinski
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1375
FormLLWLL
65%
35%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H10-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-4)