16 Aug · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1385
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sinicki
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1308
FormWWLWL
58%
42%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)