16 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1402
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Piotrowski
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1362
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 48% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.