16 Aug · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1438
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dabrowski
MK
🇵🇱Marek Kowol
ELO 1371
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)