16 Aug · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1694
FormWWLWW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Jedrzejak
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1375
FormLWLLW
80%
20%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~72 pts
3-0
40%
3-1
28%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+319
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+319)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)