16 Aug · 10:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1539
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Witczak
RW
🇵🇱Rafal Wojcik
ELO 1451
FormWWLLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Witczak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H30-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-8)