16 Aug · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1686
FormLWWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Jedrzejak
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1553
FormWWWWW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+133
H2H31-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-27)