16 Aug · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1366
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1410
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H29-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-17)