16 Aug · 11:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1349
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Poloszczanski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1302
FormLLLWW
55%
45%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Poloszczanski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H7-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)