16 Aug · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1350
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kowol
MK
🇵🇱Marek Kowol
ELO 1367
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kowol
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.