16 Aug · 12:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1302
FormLLLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sinicki
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1391
FormWLWWL
40%
60%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 38% · 2.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H13-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-6)